Whether pollsters include cel phones in their samples or not makes a big difference in the US election. Following are some charts from the 538 column of the New York Times that show the percentage of the vote received by the incumbent and by the challenger in polls of landline and of cel phone users. If only cel phone users are polled, a close race becomes a clear cut victory for the incumbent.
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/09/19/obamas-lead-looks-stronger-in-polls-that-include-cellphones/
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